Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003381 0.003772 0.004180 0.004636 0.005130 0.005649 0.006234
2024-10-20 0.002687 0.003225 0.003818 0.004515 0.005311 0.006186 0.007219
2024-10-27 0.002308 0.002925 0.003632 0.004496 0.005516 0.006674 0.008082
2024-11-03 0.002003 0.002661 0.003444 0.004431 0.005631 0.007030 0.008771
2024-11-10 0.001786 0.002476 0.003323 0.004420 0.005788 0.007419 0.009492
2024-11-17 0.001593 0.002301 0.003193 0.004379 0.005893 0.007734 0.010117
2024-11-24 0.001492 0.002231 0.003188 0.004487 0.006177 0.008268 0.011014
2024-12-01 0.001319 0.002050 0.003021 0.004373 0.006167 0.008425 0.011438
2024-12-08 0.001208 0.001943 0.002945 0.004368 0.006290 0.008748 0.012071
2024-12-15 0.001166 0.001930 0.002992 0.004527 0.006631 0.009355 0.013078
2024-12-22 0.001096 0.001870 0.002970 0.004588 0.006838 0.009788 0.013865
2024-12-29 0.001054 0.001849 0.003000 0.004718 0.007141 0.010351 0.014830
2025-01-05 0.001020 0.001839 0.003046 0.004877 0.007490 0.010991 0.015920
2025-01-12 0.000911 0.001702 0.002899 0.004749 0.007437 0.011085 0.016283
2025-01-19 0.000839 0.001621 0.002828 0.004729 0.007529 0.011376 0.016914
2025-01-26 0.000764 0.001525 0.002730 0.004662 0.007549 0.011564 0.017403
2025-02-02 0.000707 0.001459 0.002673 0.004650 0.007648 0.011861 0.018045
2025-02-09 0.000649 0.001384 0.002598 0.004608 0.007697 0.012087 0.018588
2025-02-16 0.000628 0.001372 0.002622 0.004720 0.007977 0.012645 0.019606
2025-02-23 0.000563 0.001277 0.002504 0.004601 0.007905 0.012693 0.019902
2025-03-02 0.000524 0.001227 0.002458 0.004596 0.008003 0.012987 0.020551
2025-03-09 0.000518 0.001238 0.002518 0.004762 0.008368 0.013677 0.021776
2025-03-16 0.000495 0.001214 0.002515 0.004825 0.008573 0.014135 0.022673